Friday, November 29, 2013

2014: a year different than others (further economic unrest, and/or a new war)

2014 will be different than these last couple of years.

Since the cardinal crises started in 2008 (and it will last into the 2020s), every 3 years, when Jupiter enters a cardinal sign, we see a step further in the global crises. This is something that also occurred in the 1930s, as the great depression lead to dictatorships, political conflicts and finally world war.

In the 2010s, we will see the same steps, in 2008, in 2010-2011, in 2014, in 2016-2017, and in 2019-2020. There is no way I can tell you how important this is.

2008 brought a large economic global crises / meltdown started, and also the "change" of Obama (and even a global pandemic event, even if minor, in the following months). This was linked to the start of the cardinal cross (as Uranus opposed Saturn, guess when, in October), and with Jupiter transiting a cardinal sign, Capricorn that same year. Mars transiting a cardinal sign points to when do events become big (like in October 2008). Before that, as Mars transited Cancer and early Leo (a long retrograde transit), the house bubble and the peak oil price crises, were just signs of what about to come.

2010 and 2011 brought with them a wave of protests, a big crises in the euro region, and civil wars in the Muslim world (like Egypt, Syria, North Africa). They also brought a nuclear disaster in Japan and a few large natural disasters. This was when the cardinal T-square was at its peak, and when Jupiter entered a new cardinal sign, Aries (in June 2010), meaning a new wave of developments occurred.
As Mars transited Cancer in late 2009 (another long retrograde transit), the Euro crises started and soon Greece asked for a bailout (in April 2010). Wikileaks occurred in Aug 2010 as Mars transited Libra. The Arab Spring started when Mars entered Capricorn in Dec 2010 and Jan 2011. In that period, Wikileaks became the main news, NK shelled a boat and almost entered war with South Korea, and Ireland was bailout. Then, when Mars entered Aries, in May 2011, we saw the bailout of Portugal and the start of more important European protests, as the 15M movement in Spain. In Sept 2011, Mars entered Cancer, and we saw the birth of the Occupy movement, and a few weeks before that, the riots in London (as Mars was in late Gemini).

2014 will bring a new step forward in the global crises. Now Jupiter has entered Cancer. Between December 2013 and August 2014, Mars has a long retrograde transit in Libra. Expect a new crises. If the previous periods serve as an example, this will be the start of a new wave of developments. I expect to be linked not so much to national crises (like the house bubble or Greece debt) but to more global issues, like:

  • a bailout or bankruptcy leading to a more severe crises (think Italy for example)
  • issues of political moves and diplomacy (like a severe crises between China and Japan)
  • some unexpected outcome in election in a European country affecting the whole of Europe
  • a terrorist attack of some minor attack which leads to further war (could be something in the East China region, in the Koreas or involving China, or a new terror attack in Europe or the US)
  • a new Wikileaks-like major scandal or disclosure. 
Anyways, in Libra style it will involve relationships between countries, and strain them, opposing different political agendas.

  • A political conflict between Russia and Europe, because of Ukraine is another possibility
  • or some larger developments in Iran or Pakistan that could bring them much near a war. 
  • or a war in the Middle East between two countries erupt (anything, between Turkey, Syria, Israel, Iraq, Pakistan and India). 
Certainty, all of these are already happening to some extent, but most likely it will become a crises in the near future (early to mid 2014).

And because the events also seem to take place in cardinal solar months (January, July, October, December), I think these will be the four most likely months when big things will happen in 2014.  Remember: January 2014, April 2014, October 2014, December 2014, give or take a couple of weeks. Most likely it will either a new war (Middle East or Asia), or further economic unrest (likely in Europe)

Link these months to any of the above listed events, but I have no way of predicting which one will happen.

Such an event in the early months of 2014 is surely to be a major global event, that will be linked to the sequence of events that lead to historical changes sometime later this decade and earlier in the next decade!

After this, the next wave of developments will be Mars in Capricorn in November to December 2014 (referendums in Scotland or Catalonia come to mind; Mars in Capricorn is also often related to severe war tensions or even wars starting). I think 2014 in a way is going to be like 2008, just a sequence of events culminating in the start of a  larger and more historical event.

Its not that in-between these periods, nothing happens. In fact important events do occur, whenever Mars transits a cardinal sign. Wikileaks

So far it seems that this global crises (the 2010-2020s crises) is leading a different direction than the 1930-1940s crises. It seems that the themes are: a large economic crises (with focus in Europe, but also in the US), revolution and war amidst the Muslim world, and civil protests (and possibly more) in the western world. Other topics concern whistle-blowers disclosure of government secrets, climate change and war tensions in the East China region.

Monday, July 1, 2013

Scenarios of what is going to happen in the next 15 years

We have followed the transit of Uranus in Aries, Taurus and Gemini, for the past 6 times (since 1510). For each possible scenario, we have counted of how many of those six periods has played such event. And we estimated that that percentage could be an estimation of the likelihood of such event to occur within the next 15 years.

These are our results.

The likelihood of events during the next 15 years

There is a roughly 100% change of occurring a:
- radical scientific discoveries or a scientific revolution (because it happened in the 1930s, 1840s, 1770s, 1680s, 1600s, 1510s)

A 85% change of occuring:
- violent uprisings (because it occured in the 1930s, 1850s, 1770s, 1680s, 1520s)
- political extremism, radical new political ideology, rather violent breaking with old order, 1930s, 1840s, 1780s, 1680s, 1520s
- big nationalism 1930s, 1840s, 1770s, 1590s, 1520s
- large regional war 1930s, 1840s, 1770s, 1590s, 1520s
- foreigner invasions, foreigners invade and try to attack against well established nations 1930s, 1770s, 1690s, 1590s, 1520s
- famine in parts of Europe 1940s, 1840s, 1780s, 1690s, 1600s,

A 70% change of occuring
- severe socio-economic crises 1930s, 1840s, 1780s, 1520s
- radical inspiring leaders (or dictators) 1930s, 1840s, 1770s, 1510s
- revolution/ newer values conquered 1940s, 1860s, 1780s, 1520s

A 50% change of occuring
- civil wars 1850s, 1770s, 1520s
- violent repression from authorities 1930s, 1850s, 1780s
- people fight against authorities 1840s, 1770s, 1520s
- values were taken away, to some countries 1930s, 1760s, 1510s
mass killings during uprisings or invasions 1940s, 1780s, 1520s
- large invasions 1930s, 1590s, 1510s
- fight for independence 1940s, 1770s, 1520s

A 30% of occuring
- world wide war 1940s, 1770s, 1590s
- mass killings during violent uprisings 1930s, 1780s
- mass killings during invasions 1930s, 1510s

Roughly, we can expect almost likely:

- violent uprisings, political extremism, nationalism, and some foreign invasions of parts of our 
western world or other powerful nations will be quite common. 
- radical leaders and severe economic crises will happen but it is unknown how severe this will be
- there will be some historical civil wars and famines in parts of Europe and the world (but not everywhere), and mass killings in some parts of the world, which will be sadly for long remembered.
- the civil wars might involve violent repression, values taken away but later revolutions and newer values conquered. It is likely to see a major war in the world, but rather unlikely to see a world war.
- it seems that the two top scenarios are: 
  1. large scale civil conflicts (between ethnic groups), which can be related or provoking a large scale war (but not a full blown world war), it could involve foreign attacks to the western world, or other large invasions, presecutions and large killings.
  2. widespread civil uprisings and conflicts (between people and the government), probably due to severe economic crises
Of course, we are already experiencing some degree of both, but the core of it has not come yet. Much might still be yet to come. Most likely, some development of it during 2014, a serious turning point and historical changes between 2017 and 2020 (let's call it the destruction of the old order), and then the early stages of a new order between 2020 and 2030.